Tag Archive | "biotech"

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Celgene is a Bargain

Posted on 15 April 2009 by BobL

Perhaps not a bargain, but Celgene, is a very attractive acquisition target at these levels ($38.70 at the time of this post).  I have owned CELG for a few years now (bought in the low to mid teens).  It has been a great performer.  I would recommend a buy of Celgene for a number of reasons.

  1. Major consolidation in the drug / biotech / pharma sector.  Many companies have blockbuster drugs that are losing their patent protection in the next couple of years.  Celgene will give them a company whose cash flow can cover the cost of the acquisition and stock their pipeline.
  2. Sitting on more than $2.2 billion in cash (some claim that it stands at closer to $3 billion)
  3. Low to no debt ($26 million)
  4. Nearly recession proof market/business
  5. Solid pipeline of new drugs and/or new applications for existing drugs
  6. Expansion of existing portfolio into new markets / countries

Let’s not forget the major negative

  • The Obama Administration
    If health care reform takes hold it could mean big changes in the pharma sector and the prices that they are able to extract for their treatments/products.  However, Obama and his administration have much more to worry about right now.

I will be looking to add to my position in CELG.  However, I don’t know that I see this as a trading vehicle.   It could turn into one with a juicy offer, but should that fail to come, I would be a buyer at these levels.    Long term options (LEAPS) might be a good way to play this right now.

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